BRAD HOBBS' NFL MOCK DRAFT 1.0

And with the Number One Selection in the 2013 NFL Draft; the Kansas City Chiefs Choose…

 

The NFL season is never truly over.  After the Super Bowl, free agency begins shortly and teams began to scramble for the player or players that will help improve their chances to get to the ultimate goal, the Super Bowl.

ROUND ONE:

 

Kansas City Chiefs (Round 1:1 Overall)

What does new coach Andy Reid do at quarterback? With the first overall selection in the 2013 draft, went to the Chiefs do?  The burden of picking number one...

New coach Andy Reid just left Philadelphia and a quarterback problem just to go to Kansas City and a quarterback problem.  Seattle comes to the forefront again, shopping Matt Flynn and a passel of draft selections.  Kansas City was actually a dark horse to go to the playoffs last year, but failed miserably.  Matt Cassel had a dismal year and the Chiefs fell short in every other measurable football statistic category as well. Despite having one of the most elusive and fast running backs in football in Jamaal Charles, the Chiefs offense failed to execute particularly in the red zone.  Dwayne Bowe is one of the most physical and athletic wide receivers in football, yet the Chiefs were lacking in so many other areas on the field, the faltered despite all the talent at skill positions.  It starts with a quarterback and Matt Cassel had a dismal season despite all the optimism around the league that KC would be a team to watch for.  The Chiefs possess the first selection in the 2013 draft, but they still may not be able to solve their quarterback problems with a rookie.  Geno Smith and Matt Barkley highlight the two QB's likely to go in the first round, but do they have the cachet worthy of first-round, first overall talent?  Most draft analysts say no, but there are those who believe that it is still in Kansas City's best interest to take a quarterback with the first pick overall.  Both Smith and Barkley had subpar senior seasons and many GM's have been disappointed in their production under pressure.  There are other talented athletes at quarterback, but any team looking for players like; Andrew Luck, RGIII or Russell Wilson to come walking through the door this year is just fooling themselves.  Let's talk about the positive first; Jamaal Charles is a dynamite running back and Dwayne Bowe is a very good wide receiver. The defense has talent also.  DE Tamba Hali , DE Tyson Jackson, S Eric Berry, DT Glenn Dorsey, CB Brandon Flowers and LB Derek Johnson are all excellent defenders, but Glenn Dorsey will likely be a salary cap casualty. It all starts at quarterback and Matt Cassel isn't the answer.  Veteran QB Alex Smith of the 49ers might be a solution and Seattle QB Matt Flynn could be a solution as well. It is said that Andy Reid is playing with house money, because no one expects a solution right away.  First, Reid must find a quarterback, then they can start building around whoever that will be.
Update: The Kansas City Chiefs acquired QB Alex Smith from the 49ers for a pair of second round draft selections.  Now they need to protect Smith and continue improving the run for Jamaal Charles.

 Pick: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

 

  Jacksonville Jaguars (Round 1:2 Overall)

Who plays quarterback in 2013? Gabbert?  Henne?  Trade for Tebow? Draft a QB?

Quarterback Chad Henne threw just 11 touchdowns in 2012 and equaled that in interceptions with just 2000 yards through the air. Blaine Gabbert was drafted early in the first round to save this franchise's offensive game, but he has been somewhat of a disappointment since being drafted in 2011 in the first round, 10th overall. With new general manager Dave Caldwell and new head coach, Gus Bradley, look for them to give Gabbert (23) a shot at starting in training camp, sharing time with Chad Henne and perhaps a rookie quarterback to join the competition for QB1. One of the worst offenses and defenses in 2012, look for the Jaguars the draft for quality player at every position, but QB is going to be decision one and it should be.  Seattle might be shopping Matt Flynn around the NFL and Gus Bradley (former Seahawk DC) is very familiar with Flynn and might be interested in trading draft positions in the first round with Seattle, and acquiring Flynn to join the competition with Gabbert and Henne.  Seattle possessing 12 selections might be able to sweeten the deal to a team that is desperate to rebuild, but shallow in QB talent.  Seattle is poised to push for a Super Bowl and will be likely interested in moving up in the draft to get that special player to push them over the hump.  Boasting ; Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson and Ryan Tannehill, 2012 was a wonderful year for young quarterbacks, but 2013 is not shaping up to compare. 
Update: with San Francisco training QB Alex Smith to the Kansas City Chiefs, the free agent quarterback market is getting quite thin.  However, Matt Flynn of the Seahawks is available, but it won't be cheap.  Jacksonville will likely keep their number one pick and select the best defensive lineman in the draft.

 

Pick: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

 

 Oakland Raiders (Round 1:3 Overall)

Do they keep Carson Palmer?

Enter the new era without Al Davis… As great as Davis was for the NFL and all that he brought to the Raiders, the game has passed  him in by.  Now that Al is at the 50 yard line in the sky, it's Reggie McKenzie who will try to resurrect the once great Raider Nation.  The former regime was big on Heisman Trophy winners and big-name, big-play athletes and while that might work some of the time, it has rarely produced for the Raiders of late.  Recent draft results have been dismal and few selections still remain on the team.  The trade for Carson Palmer has cost Oakland dearly and the jury is out on whether or not that will be considered a failure or success, but one thing is for certain...  Palmer has cost the Raiders plenty.  McKenzie and Co. will likely ask Palmer to take a pay cut.  If he refuses, they could cut him, but then what?  He is scheduled to be of $13 million cap hit in 2013. The "Raidas" have many needs, but one of the fastest ways to become competitive again is by fortifying a good defense.  12 of the 13 lowest scoring defenses finished with winning records last season, with the Dolphins being the only exception.  Look for the Raiders to build the defensive line and secondary through free agency and draft for a wide receiver, running back and offensive line, in that order. 
Update: Carson Palmer will be asked to take a pay cut in order to allow Oakland to sign free agents around the NFL and re-sign players already on the roster.  Palmer will likely refuse and will either be traded, or released in order to clear his $13 million salary from the Cap. News out of Oakland is that GM Reggie McKenzie is anxious to pick a QB in the draft.

 
 Pick: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

 

 

 Philadelphia Eagles  (Round 1:4 Overall)

Who will play quarterback for new coach Chip Kelly and in what offense?

The Philadelphia experiment is going to be extremely interesting in 2013.  The Eagles have chosen to pick up the option on Michael Vick, but Nick Foles is waiting in the wings and will compete for the starting job in Chip Kelly's brand of offense, whatever that will be is unknown.

Philly has a very talented roster, but for a variety of reasons they haven't been able to put it all together.  Last year, the Eagles captured some of the best defensive talent in the draft.  In the first-round the Eagles selected defensive end, Fletcher Cox out of Mississippi State. In the 2nd round, inside linebacker Mychal Kendricks out of California. Also in the 2nd round, they chose defensive end Vinny Curry out of Marshall.  Quarterback Nick Foles was chosen in the 3rd round.  Cornerback Brandon Boykin was taken in the 4th round from Georgia. The Eagles may have had the best draft of 2013 and coach Kelly has a formidable team to work with his inaugural season in the NFL.  The Eagles don't have very many obvious areas of need.  Quarterback has been an inconsistent position, partly because Michael Vick has been injury prone, but also the team continues to underachieve.

It'll be interesting to see if Kelly uses his spread offense (as per Oregon) utilizing Vick's mobility or if you decide to go to a more conventional offense, using up-tempo playcalling with Foles at QB.  Running back is set with one of the best in RB Le Sean McCoy and the Eagles can certainly spread the field with deep threat DeSean Jackson at wide receiver.  It's no secret, but the Eagles just need to get their act together and they're hoping that Chip Kelly can be the man to do it.  The big question will be, as with all college coaches taking on the NFL, can he manage the NFL egos and big-league personalities.  Kelly had a lot of control at Oregon with the players, the press and his coaching staff.  Things are different in the NFL and most players don't react well to disciplinarian, militant style coaching that used to be the norm in the NFL.  Things have changed Chip, and you better change along with them for it is going to be more trouble in Philly. 
Update: Look for Chip Kelly to take a gamble with a player that is on some analysts big board as number one.  Star Lotulelei left the NFL combine with what was reported as a heart condition.  The Eagles will take the chance.

 

Pick: Star Lotulelei, DL, Utah

 

 

  Detroit Lions  (Round 1:5 Overall)

Do they bring back defensive end Cliff Avril?  What about a decent running back?

The Lions have not decided whether or not they will re-sign defensive end Cliff Avril.  They had a miserable year after looking like one of the brightest up-and-coming teams in the NFL.  Matthew Stafford played like a veteran last year, but looked very mortal in the 2012 campaign.  Detroit has been a very anemic in the running portion of their offense and also riddled with injuries with the running backs they had.  Stafford actually had a decent year considering the condition of the Lions offense.  The problem?  It's easy… They need everything… For the exception of a quarterback and elite wide receiver, they struggled in every phase of the game and even their standout players had sub-par seasons.  Ndomakong Suh was practically nonexistent and without his pressure, it made it that much difficult for Cliff Avril to succeed.  The laundry list of players Detroit needs to turn things around is not short; Premier running back, offensive line, linebacker, wide receiver, defensive end and their entire defensive secondary. One of the biggest dilemmas for the Lions owner and GM is that they don't have much cap room.  They've already committed more than $50 million to three players on their current roster and it's not including Cliff Avril.  These are the dangers of overpaying elite players.  Buffalo did something similar when they gave defensive end Mario Williams $100 million.  It's simple arithmetic, there's just not enough money to go around and with a hard cap of $120 million, some teams are going to come up short and aside from their marquee players, the rest of the team is going to have to play on the cheap.  I predict that Detroit will seek out help in the running game with a running back and perhaps later in the draft they could pick up a decent tackle and guard to bolster and inadequate line to protect their franchise and highly paid quarterback Matthew Stafford.  Detroit is going to have to unload some salary to be able to rebuild and just one year ago we were talking about a young up-and-coming football team to be respected.  It seems the front office is as undisciplined as the players on that football team.

 

Pick: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

 

 

 Cleveland Browns  (Round 1:6 Overall)

Is Brandon Weeden the long-term answer? Probably not…

New coach Rob Chudzinski isn't the believer in Weeden the way that Pat Shurmur and Mike Holmgren were when they drafted the 29-year-old rookie.  Chudzinski and Mike Lombardi seemed to have different ideas what kind of quarterback they want under center.  Weeden doesn't have the time to develop because of his age and even if they did, by the time he was a seasoned player, he could be 34 years old or older.  This was, in my opinion, a half thought out decision to take Weeden so early in the draft.  He should have been a later draft selection, drafted for the sole reason of a backup with maturity.  Colt McCoy is also a bust as a starting quarterback, but might be able to make it with another team as a backup.  I don't see McCoy staying in Cleveland for the 2013 season.  This leaves the Browns with the quarterback quandary as well as an offensive line problem to solve.  Their defense played fairly well, but they could use wide receivers and offensive lineman.  If they do choose to pull the trigger on a quarterback in this draft, he's going to need an awful lot of protection this year if not next year.  The biggest question for this football team?  Window pull the plug on Brandon Weeden? They should go; Tackle and outside receiver with speed and size.  The Browns could also use a shutdown corner with physicality and the ability to take on some of the bigger wide receivers in man coverage.
Update: The 49ers dealt their backup QB Alex Smith to the Kansas City Chiefs.  This changes things for the Browns.  The only quality free agent quarterback is Seattle's Matt Flynn.  The organization has pulled the plug on Brandon Weeden being their franchise quarterback which may change their draft players should Geno Smith or Matt Barkley be available.  Seattle GM John Schneider covets Colt McCoy as a backup quarterback as he comes at a much cheaper price than Flynn, plus Flynn is unhappy in Seattle wanting to have an opportunity to compete for a starting job. McCoy is intelligent and could make a decent backup if Seattle were to deal Flynn to the Browns in exchange for McCoy and draft considerations.


  Pick: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

  

 

  Arizona Cardinals  (Round 1:7 Overall)

Quarterback Quarterback Quarterback, but is there one available?

Obviously, Kevin Kolb did not impress the front office or coaching staff in Arizona in his first two seasons with the Cardinals. Former coach Ken Whisenhunt thought Kolb would pay off bigger after watching him excel in a starting role after Michael Vick was injured in Philadelphia.  Ultimately the Cardinals would trade for Kolb, sending DB Antonio Cromartie to Philadelphia and a draft pick.  Making this trade would cost Whisenhunt his head coaching job in Arizona leaving a mess behind. John Skelton didn't impress and there are few decent quarterbacks available in the free agent market.  Unfortunately for Arizona, two of the better options are 49ers quarterback Alex Smith and Seahawks backup Matt Flynn.  It's unlikely that a trade would culminate inside the NFC West division to a rival franchise.  However, there are some talented quarterbacks in the draft and Arizona might have to dance with a wallflower as an experiment or the fans could get restless in Arizona.  New coach Bruce Arians is an offensive minded coach and might be aggressive in trying to find a quarterback to groom for the future.  Without a quarterback in the NFL, a coach and his team are doomed to fail.  Just look at its history… As Ken Whisenhunt found out, trading for a quarterback prospect can be expensive in draft selections as well as trade fodder.

 

Pick: Matt Barkley, QB, USC

 

 

  Buffalo Bills  (Round 1:8 Overall)

linebacker and quarterback are focus for Bills.

The Buffalo Bills made a few calculated decisions that turned out more like gambles gone wrong.  They committed over $100 million to defensive end Mario Williams and signed Ryan Fitzpatrick to a long contract that he definitely did not live up to.  The Bills were picked to be one of the dark horse team is to make the playoffs last year along with Kansas City.  Obviously, they were wrong on both counts, but Buffalo does have talent but like every other team in the NFL; "If you don't have a quarterback than you really ain't got nothing." Seattle's Matt Flynn or Alex Smith could be available, but the price tag is pretty steep for teams trying to retool.  Wide receiver might be another area of need for the Bills.  New head coach Doug Marrone may want to find his own captain to sail the ship and there are a few options in the draft, but none of them possess the cachet that RGIII and Andrew Luck provided in 2012.  They could cut Fitzpatrick and clear up quite a bit of cap room, but it's unlikely a rookie quarterback of the caliber available would be able to start right away.  Might need to keep Fitzpatrick one year more, but the Bills' fans are going to hate that.

Pick: Dion Jordon, DL/OLB, Oregon

 

 

 New York Jets  (Round 1:9 Overall)

Mark Sanchez, Tim Tebow?  What to do, what to do?

The term "Butt-Fumble" will forever be ensconced in the history books for quarterback Mark Sanchez, but that's not the Jets biggest problem.  They desperately need a capable signal caller and that player is not currently on the roster.  Unfortunately for Rex Ryan and the clown car cadets, the 2013 draft is not one including a quarterback savior so desperately needed.  New GM John Idzik has recently begun to clean house to get the Jets back under the $121 million salary cap.  Sitting $18 million over, linebacker's, Bart Scott, Calvin pace, Safety Eric Smith, backup lineman Jason Smith and backup tight end, Josh Baker were released clearing $30 million from their current annual salary.  The Jets have not decided whether or not to keep Mark Sanchez or Tim Tebow, but have already committed to Sanchez.  In fact, even if Sanchez is traded (and that would be a miracle) the Jets would still be hit hard on their cap room to the tune of $13.9 million.  If they keep Sanchez, it's likely they would have to trade Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie, their two best players. Mike Tannenbaum has got to be the pariah of New York City and it is most certain is key to the city has been returned and privileges revoked.  Jets need a quarterback, wide receiver, and running back… Badly.  It is quite possible the New York Jets are the most troubled professional franchise in NFL history. What the JETS need is a time machine to go back and stop signing big-name players just because they are big-name players. Perhaps Idzik will begin to fashion the roster as he did in Seattle head coach Pete Carroll and GM John Schneider, through the draft and smart acquisitions that cost little and produce big.  They've got the right man now, they just need to clean up the gigantic disaster left behind by Tannenbaum. The natives in New York lit torches and chased the much-maligned general manager out of town, yet the pain of his methods will echo until Sanchez' contract has ended.
Update: New Jets GM John Idzik came from the Seahawks organization formerly there director of player personnel.  He knows the value of QB Matt Flynn, but it's unclear whether the organization has given up on last year's starter Mark Sanchez.  Sanchez is a financial conundrum for the Jets as he will make nearly $14 million this year even if he is traded or released.  Former GM Mike Tannenbaum left the organization in a real fix.  However, Flynn, his at a much cheaper price, but still counts as a $5.7 million hit to the salary cap that is already bulging for the NYJ's.

Pick: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

 

 

 Tennessee Titans  (Round 1:10 Overall)

Is Jake Locker the long-term answer?  Will veteran QB Hasselbeck call it quits at 37, after 14 seasons?

The Tennessee Titans have had a difficult go of late at the quarterback position.  Matt Hasselbeck gave them the last bit of competitive efforts he has left in his broken down body and Jake locker has shown white most young quarterbacks must hold clipboards before being thrust into the starting position.  Locker is a superb athlete and great on his feet, but he's having difficulties reading NFL defenses.  Locker started the season, but was injured and replaced again by Hasselbeck.  Chris Johnson has been a huge disappointment for the Titans since signing his monster contract for running back, particularly one of his size.  Johnson isn't an every down back and he has been almost irrelevant since cashing in on a contract that pays him $13 million a year.  The Titans need help in many areas, so drafting for best player available would be the best strategy for Tennessee.  The draft is deep and this is good news for a team rebuilding from the bottom up.  It's not complicated, the Titans lack talent and depth of talent almost across the board.  Last year's draft yielded Kendall Wright and Zach Brown, and although these players are solid and should contribute in the future, they're not going to be superstars and in the NFL, that's what it takes to win.  Matt Hasselbeck hasn't reported that he is ready for retirement, so it is most likely expected that he will remain the backup as they continue to develop Jake locker as QB1.  Chris Palmer, the former offensive coordinator in Tennessee, was fired and replaced by Dowell Loggins.  Loggins and head coach Mike Munchak will be looking to see if locker can become more consistent.  Jake locker has shown flashes of greatness, but the bar graph must get more even if Tennessee is to keep him around for long.  If not, the Titans will be out looking for their franchise quarterback next January, just like Kansas City, Cleveland, the Jets and Buffalo are right now. 
Update: The organization has settled on the fact that they're going to go with Jake locker or Matt Hasselbeck for 2013.  Locker has the job to lose, but it's essential that he has a fair shot and he will need protection and Chris Johnson must earn his paycheck in the running game.  Therefore, offensive tackle will likely be the direction that the Titans go.

 

Pick: Eric Fischer, OT, Cincinnati

  

 

  San Diego Chargers  (Round 1:11 Overall)

How do they fix the offensive line?

The San Diego Chargers have got to be the enigma team of the NFL.  Over the last decade or so, they boasted some of the best players in the NFL.  In North Turner tenure there, they haven't been able to get over the hump, even though they seemingly had all the pieces in place to compete for a Super Bowl.  Great players like; Ladanian Tomlinson, Drew Brees, Junior Seau, Vincent Jackson, Darren Sproles, Antonio Gates, Quinton Jammer, Luis Castillo, Philip Rivers and Shawn Merriman just to name a few.  Now, many of those players are gone and some are past their prime.  Norv Turner is now the Redskins OC and new head coach Mike McCoy has taken over in San Diego.  The Chargers have lost much of their talent and must rebuild.  Wide receiver and linebacker or their biggest needs, but there are several other positions that need to be fortified.  Ken Whisenhunt is the offensive coordinator and it will be their jobs to put this Humpty Dumpty team back together again.  A big question; "Is Philip Rivers a franchise quarterback?"  Norv Turner and the rest of the Chargers front office believed so, so much that they let Drew Brees out the door and on his way to New Orleans in favor of Rivers.  Rivers was prototypical quarterback size, but had a strange low delivery when he throws.  Brees was only 6 feet tall and that was enough to tip the scales, or the measuring stick in Rivers favor.  Like many other teams who have franchise quarterbacks and veterans with large contracts, the Chargers don't have a lot of cap room to play with during the off-season.  Most likely, they will have to rebuild through the draft and the lower scale rookie contracts negotiated into the most recent collective bargaining agreement.  Not necessarily a bad way to do it, it's just going to take time.  There will be no quick fixes in San Diego, at least for a while.  Look for the Chargers to begin assembling a strong offensive line in the draft this year.
Update: Several analysts have suggested that the Chargers front office isn't particularly thrilled with the performance of their so-called franchise quarterback Philip Rivers.  Look for the Chargers to be a dark horse in the Matt Flynn free-agent interest.  Flynn makes far less than Rivers, but he is a quality backup that could push Rivers and competition might be just exactly what the disappointing QB could use.

Pick: Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU

 Miami Dolphins  (Round 1:12 Overall)

How do they improve a pass offense that was 26th in passing yards? Reggie Bush is a UFA, into the Dolphins retain his services?

The Dolphins had an unexpectedly decent season considering; an entirely new coaching staff, a rookie quarterback with a short resume, no Brandon Marshall and a total lack of team identity and to add to all that…  after a rocky start on HBO's Hard Knocks with internal conflict and a team lacking confidence in their new HC.  Ryan Tannehill had a very respectable season, after several sports celebrity analysts predicted he would struggle with the Dolphins depleted wide receiver set and indecisive coaching staff.  Actually, he did better than respectable, throwing for nearly 3300 yards and 58% passing percentage. Tannehill threw for 12 touchdowns, but he struggled reading some of the more complex defensive sets and offered up 13 interceptions during the season.  He is smart, a quick learner and will most certainly improve picking up the multiple looks that defenses give a quarterback each and every game.  The Dolphins hope that Lamar Miller can pick up where Reggie Bush left off as he will most likely find another team in free agency -- Daniel Thomas can also contribute nicely.  Unfortunately, Miami has several places to improve which is actually good news for the Dolphins because the 2013 draft is deep in most of the places the fins need help; #1: a wide receiver for Tannehill.  #2: a tight end for Tannehill to find when he gets in trouble.  #3: offensive tackle, the Dolphins are losing long time left tackle Jake Long in free agency and to free up cap space.  Bottom line: Miami needs to tool up for Ryan Tannehill or you will continue throwing interceptions and making mistakes.

Pick: Cordarelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

 

 

 Tampa Bay Buccaneers  (Round 1:13 Overall)

What should they do about Josh Freeman's contract?

Josh Freeman might be the most ignored quarterback in football.  Now, his contract has come into play and the Buccaneers have decisions to make.  What will they do and how well they parlay last year's excellent draft and free agent work into wins and a return to the playoffs?

Obviously, Freeman wants a long-term deal with the Bucs, but it's unclear exactly what Tampa's front office has in store.  Since Brad Johnson QB'd the Buccaneers to a Super Bowl victory, they really haven't had a quarterback of any notoriety.  Now, 6'7" 255 pound Josh Freeman is under center and looks to have the talent to be around for a while.  He has a lot of improving to do, but has talent and offensive coordinator Mike Sullivan hasn't twisted the Rubik's cube to find an offense that exploits the big quarterbacks arm and vision to throw the football downfield.  In the new age of the mobile quarterback, will the Buccaneers invest in a quarterback with Freeman's skill set or will they opt not to pay him and searched for their own version of RGIII or Russell Wilson or Cam Newton?  One of the problems is one of availability; you just don't find a Russell Wilson in the draft the way the Seahawks did last year in the third round.  It's a big story, not just because Wilson is a great young quarterback, but that Seattle selected him in the third round.  But this wasn't a case of a diamond in the rough.  Wilson had all the tangibles you want in a big time NFL quarterback except for height.  He had all the numbers in college you could ever hope for the quarterback, the Seahawks just believed in his intangibles and how he overcame the obvious disadvantage he has of not being fixed feet 5 inches tall.  Now, it's time for GM Sullivan and HC Greg Schiano to fortify and already nice roster with players that can help get them over the hump.  The Bucs have one of the best and most electrifying running backs in David Wilson, who was mentioned among other outstanding rookies to win the offensive rookie of the year award.  Vincent Jackson was greatly successful as a free agent coming from San Diego to the Bucs and had instant chemistry with quarterback Josh Freeman.  Strong safety Mark Barron, linebacker Lavonte David and David Wilson rounded out a very successful 2012 draft class for the Buccaneers.  As far as the future?  Tampa Bay will probably roll the dice and not give Freeman and long-term deal just yet.  Entering the final year of his rookie contract, Freeman will have to prove something this year to get a long-term deal.  He struggled in the second half of the 2012 season and Mike Sullivan and Greg Schiano are playing chicken with the big quarterback from Kansas State who threw for 4065 yards and 54% completion percentage.  He threw 27 touchdown passes with 17 interceptions and an 81 QBR for the season.  All in all, not too bad and the Buccaneers best decide which direction they're going to go, because this year's draft is not overflowing with quarterback talent and RGIII, Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson's don't come along every year.  2012 could turn out to be the best quarterback last in NFL history.  1983 produced Dan Marino, Jim Kelly, John Elway, Todd Blackledge, Tony Eason, and Ken O'Brien.  Blackledge, Eason and O'Brien turned out to be busts, but there's no argument in the success of Marino, Kelly and Elway.  Maybe someday they'll be saying the same about; Luck, Griffin III and Wilson.  Josh Freeman, however, has some work to do but he has a lot of potential and he is a big man that is hard to take down. Now, it's time for the Bucs to decide whether or not his future lies in Tampa Bay, Florida or not. Look for the Buccaneers to draft for offensive line, linebacker and tightend.  Dallas Clark has been injury prone and isn't getting any younger and no one else on the roster is going to give Freeman the kind of big target needed any NFL.

Pick: Demontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M

  Carolina Panthers  (Round 1:14 Overall)

Cam Newton needs help?

Cam Newton had somewhat of a sophomore slump, but he did come on late and showed flashes of his star potential as a passer and runner.  Ron Rivera has been given another year reprieve and opportunity to build this Panthers team around Newton which means wide receivers and offensive line.  Newton spent a lot of the 2012 campaign running for his life and that's not the kind of quarterback he is.  He can make plays with his legs, but not primarily as a scrambler, rather a designed boot and he is effective in the read-option done so well on the West Coast by Russell Wilson and Colin Kaepernick.  Look for the Panthers to go offensive line in the first round with a 2013 class loaded with offensive line talent. Cam Newton has a lot of growing up to do, and after some pathetic behavior on the sidelines last year, you can bet that he's being taught how to be a leader even when the Panthers lose.

Pick: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

 New Orleans Saints  (Round 1:15 Overall)

Now that Sean Payton is back as coach, how do the Saints fix the defense?

Wow… What can you say about the former champs?  Sean Payton is back, and that's a huge boost for a team that has literally been living in a 3 ring circus.  One thing that will be different for the Saints is their defense.  Greg Williams is gone and replaced with Rob Ryan and that means their D will change to a 3-4 front.  They will need to find players that fit into a 3-4 and that will be a tall order.  Will Smith and Jonathan Vilma will return, but it will be important how Ryan will use the current talent and whatever free-agent or draft choices are dealt for or chosen.  New Orleans needs pressure on the edges, and the draft can certainly provide help there, but they also could use an inside linebacker.  It will be interesting to see how the team rallies around their head coach and how Payton and Ryan gel together.  Devery Henderson is a free agent, so if he leaves the big easy the Saints will certainly be shopping to give Drew Brees more targets to stretch the field.

 Pick: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

 

 

 St. Louis Rams  (Round 1:16 Overall)

How do they liven up an offense that was 25th in scoring?

The Rams were 25th in scoring in 2012.  With a quarterback like Sam Bradford… That must change and change will come, starting with longtime Rams RB Steven Jackson.  Jackson isn't expected to remain with the team for 2013, though the coaching staff and ownership dispute that.  Jackson has endured some of the leanest years the Rams have had and he has done it with his mouth shut and with as much class as one can muster missing the playoffs year after year.  He's got a couple of years left in him, but at most two.  Sam Bradford has a very good possession, slot style receiver in Danny Amendola, but Amendola is a possession receiver and free agent who is likely not to stay with the team.  So with that vacancy is likely the Rams will draft for a speedy wide receiver. Fortunate for the Rams, there are several deep threat receiver's to choose from in the draft and a few free-agent veterans that would fill in nicely with a young up-and-coming quarterback like Sam Bradford. Running back will also be important to develop an open passing game.  Last year, the Rams made good on the trade with the Redskins which sent them 3 first-round draft choices and two 2nd round selections for Washington's first-round selection and the opportunity to draft Robert Griffin III. The Rams made the best of their selections in 2012 selecting DE Michael Brockers, WR Brian Quick, CB Jenoris Jenkins, RB Isaiah Pead, CB Tremaine Johnson, WR Chris Givens and K Greg Zuerlein. All of these draft choices were productive, particularly Brockers, Jenkins, and Zuerlein and Johnson and Givens showed some potential.  Jeff Fisher almost immediately turned this Rams team around, losing just one divisional game to the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink field in Seattle.  Their defense showed immediate improvement and so Jenoris Jenkins and Tremaine Johnson were troubled players with lots of off field problems, the Rams looked brilliant taking the talented players without any incidents, so far.  Fisher is a risk taker, but they're calculated risks and he is a great leader of particularly young athletes, not unlike Seattle's head coach, Pete Carroll who isn't afraid to take chances on players with questionable character. Despite getting production from Brian Quick and Chris Givens, the Rams offense is still in need of a big-play wide receiver to go with Bradford's big arm.  Also look for a replacement for Stephen Jackson.  There aren't many running backs in the draft to compare, but a few decent runners could be worth a shot in the middle to late rounds of the draft.  Free agency is also a possibility to help with the offensive line and at the linebacker position.  If the right player comes along, the Rams also have extra first round selections to deal if they need to.

Pick: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

 

 

  Pittsburgh Steelers  (Round 1:17 Overall)

Things aren't so rosy in "Steel Town" and there's a lot of work to be done before they are ready to compete for another title.  Mike Tomlin needs a change and there's no time like the present. He can start by getting his players to shut up on TV and stop tweeting every thought that comes into their heads about their teammates and coaching staff.  This is a proud franchise and a better start acting like it again or it's going to be another long year for Ben and the boys of yellow and black.

Pittsburgh is not dealing with a lot of cap room and they have some free agents to make decisions on, such as Mike Wallace.  Wallace is likely gone and the Steelers haven't found a reliable running back since their last Super Bowl when Rashard Mendenhall and Isaac Redman ran tandem.  Mendenhall has been chronically injured and the Steelers are left with Jonathan Dwyer and Baron Batch.  Kevin Colbert appeared to have had a decent draft in 2012, but early in the season left guard David DeCastro sustained a serious knee injury and was out for the remainder of the season.  2nd round selection, Tackle Mike Adams from Ohio State had a slow start and didn't shine the way they had hoped.  Legal problems begin immediately with nose tackle standout out of Washington, Alameda Ta’amu.  The Steelers traded their 4th and 6th selections to ensure acquiring the best NT in the draft, only to have his off field problems make more news that his on-field performance.  RB Chris Rainey was released from the team after the season. Now, the defense is getting old and the replacement hopefuls haven't panned out.  Sean Spence, the inside linebacker from Miami hasn't made an impact as of yet.  All of this, yet the Steelers are not far out of the playoffs in the AFC North.  GM Kevin Colbert promises "big change a coming".  Will it be the departure of Mike Wallace or aging outside linebacker James Harrison?  The Steelers are reportedly changing their offensive line blocking schemes and that means new personnel to match. Aside from the Ravens, the AFC North has been the Steelers division and they are burning to get control again.  They have some nice players on offense, but they need to get younger on defense and mean again.
Update: It is looking more probable that speedy wide receiver Mike Wallace will not be back in steel town for the 2013 season.  The Miami Dolphins are hotly pursuing Wallace after losing Brandon Marshall last year to the Chicago Bears in an ill-fated trade.  Ben Roethlisberger has reportedly restructured his contract to free up money to sign new players or re-sign existing veterans.  This however will not save Wallace in Pittsburgh.  Therefore, it's quite possible the Steelers will go to a fast, outside wide receiver like  Tavon Austin out of West Virginia.  The defense however, could use some attention as well.  The Steelers simply are getting old.

Pick: Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU

 

 

 Dallas Cowboys  (Round 1:18 Overall)

How do they fix the defense?

The Cowboys traded up in the 2012 draft to choose the best corner in college.  They need to do more… DeMarcus Ware had an unusually mediocre season and Sean Lee started quickly, but after a bell ringing hit from the Seahawks Golden Tate on a blindside block, Lee didn't come back sharp and seemed to be affected when making plays in the middle of the field.  Dallas seems to spend a lot of attention on the more "high-profile" positions with the more high-profile players, but still there underachieving season after season and you can start with Tony Romo.  Once considered an elite type of QB, now he's considered a punchline the many and the major-league choker to the rest.  He has skills that could make them one of the best, but his decision-making skills leave a bit to be desired.  So, what's the real problem?  Jerry Jones is the real problem.  The Cowboys have had some of the worst draft classes since Y2K.  The war room in Dallas is dictated by Gen. Jones and he has missed on more draft hunches than George W Bush and WMD. Monte Kiffin has come on board as the Cowboys DC which will transition the defense from a 3-4 cover one scheme to a defensive formation that will utilize linebackers Ware and Lee the way they were supposed to be used in the 4-3 cover two scheme which will put DeMarcus Ware with his hand in the dirt on each down.  However, with a cover two scheme, the Cowboys will need better safeties.  Look for Dallas to go defense and think secondary if Kiffin is to have any more success than Rob Ryan who has shuffled off to New Orleans. 

Pick: DJ Fluker, OT, Alabama

 

 

 New York Giants  (Round 1:19 Overall)

Time to retool the offensive line to protect and serve; protect QB Eli and serve RB Wilson.

The Giants missed the playoffs after winning the Lombardi trophy the previous year and much of the reason was New York's inability to move the football on the ground. Manning was only sacked 19 times, but that's not reflective of the pressure he experienced throughout the season.  Despite producing over 1000 yards rushing, RB Ahmad Bradshaw was released leaving the bulk of the running responsibility to first-year player David Wilson.  Wilson showed his elusiveness and speed, but also lived up to his reputation for fumbling the football early in the season.  However, Wilson seemed to settle down late in the season winning the confidence of coach Ryan enough to let Bradshaw go.  Now, New York is left with just Wilson and Andre Brown who both carried the ball just 70 times each and for 385 yards and 358 yards, respectively.  Tightend, Martellus Bennett, is likely a free agent casualty and will create a need at the position.  Drafting 19th, look for one of this draft's talented tight ends to go to the Giants without hesitation. However, in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, New York will almost certainly draft to improve the left side of the offensive line.

 

Pick: Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford

 

 

 Chicago Bears  Round 1:20 Overall)

With new coach, Marc Trestman, can Jay Cutler be taught to be a team player? 

Quarterback Jay Cutler butchered his offensive line last year and embarrassing the big men up front doesn't inspire them to protect you.  Cutler is a problematic quarterback, because he does possess a strong arm and a mediocre understanding of the game, but he is a playmaker and can be effective.  It's just how long he can continue at quarterback when his worst opponent is his own team.  The Brandon Marshall acquisition in 2012 was brilliant and produced better than they had dreamed.  The Bears dealt with several injuries and need to determine whether to go forward with running back Matt forte.  Forte is a unique and talented runner, but can't manage to stay healthy for an entire season.  Brian Urlacher may not be with the team he started with and that will mean the Bears will need to draft players that can stuff the run.  Urlacher plays middle linebacker, but that doesn't necessarily mean they need to replace Urlacher with the first round.  They could also dropped and interior defensive lineman and perhaps get talent at the linebacker position through free agency or perhaps a player might step up from the 2012 roster.  The Bears no longer have Devin Hester and other than Charles Tillman, they need help in the defensive secondary as well.  Look for Chicago to draft for defense at MLB, DT and S. Trestman is known to be a pass happy coach while he was in Canada, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Chicago snatch up a wide receiver instead of what I really believe they need.  Go figure.
Update: The Bears could go in a number of directions including; CB, S, and OL, but with the uncertainty of Brian Urlacher's return, (free-agent/injury) and the inside linebacker would be on top of the list I would think.

   

Pick: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia

 

 

 Cincinnati Bengals  (Round 1:21 Overall)

What can Bengals do to unseat Steelers in the AFC North?

What do they do with Andre Smith and Michael Johnson, their top two free agents?

The Bengals have two important free agents to deal with.  Michael Johnson was there most productive sack man with 11 1/2 sacks last season and his young (25).  Andre Smith is an imposing tackle and he should push for Pro bowl trip next year, providing there is a Pro bowl contest next year, and a right tackle ever made it to Honolulu.  The Bengals could use a good running back for insurance.  Benjarvis Green-Ellis is an adequate runner, but he's getting up in years and they would like to upgrade at that position regardless.  With the zone blocking schemes used by Marvin Lewis, Green-Ellis has not flourished the way he did with the New England Patriots, but there are many reasons a running game succeeds or fails.  The draft is not loaded with running back talent, but there are a few backs that might be able to step in and create immediate respite for Green-Ellis in a one-two punch style the way that the Houston Texans use Ben Tate and Arian Foster in tandem.
Update: The Bengals are shallow in running backs, but with the value teams are putting doing running backs these days, even Eddie Lacy from Alabama would be a risk at this position in the draft.  Benjarvis Green-Ellis doesn't provide elite running status, but with the 21st pick in the first round, the Bengals mustn't get cute. Lacy will be gone,  but Montee Ball from Wisconsin might be available in the second round.

 

Pick: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

 St. Louis Rams  (from Was[10-6]: Round 1:22 Overall)

The St. Louis Rams have the chance to fortify their football team to the third power.  The Washington Redskins served up three first round selections in exchange for the opportunity to select Robert Griffin III with the second pick in the 2012 draft.  It seems to of already paid off for the Redskins, though RGIII is currently rehabilitating himself after a serious knee injury damaging both his anterior cruciate ligament as well as his medial collateral ligament.  This injury is similar to the damage suffered by RB Adrian Peterson of the Vikings, though the tears were reportedly not as acute.  Reports are that RGIII is ahead of schedule in his rehab.  So, the question is for the Rams: "What to do with the slew of draft selections from the Redskins?"  Washington went 10-6 in 2012, so the first round pick for the Rams will be 22nd overall.  However, the Rams also received a pair of second round selections as well.  QB Sam Bradford is the sole reason that St. Louis didn't draft RGIII themselves, so now it's time to build the football team around Bradford.  He's going to need three vital aspects of the team to improve: pass protection, wide receivers and a decent running game to open up the pass.  Stephen Jackson has recently rejected a contract extension and restructure, so it is likely he will test the free-agent market instead.  This means the Rams must find a replacement for Jackson either through free agency or the draft.  Unfortunately, the 2013 draft is not deep in quality running backs.  However, with , extra number one selection, it's likely they can solve two of the three problems right away.  It just depends on which are more urgent and what players will fit into Jeff Fisher's system.  Newly reinstated defensive coordinator, Greg Williams, has been hired to join Fisher's staff, so Williams will likely lobby for some defensive stability.  However, the Rams need help on the other side of the ball more urgently. Last year, Fisher and Company drafted much-maligned defensive backs CB's Jenoris Jenkins and Trumaine Johnson in the middle rounds.  Michael Brockers, a raw but talented defensive end was selected in the first round.

Pick: Keenan Allen, WR, California-Berkeley

 Minnesota Vikings  (Round 1:23 Overall)

What do they do to help Christian Ponder show he's the long-term solution at quarterback -- or is he?

The Minnesota Vikings need to build the offense around the run and the best man on 2 feet, Adrian Peterson.  Offensive line and wide receiver are likely places for the Vikings to go in the draft.  There are several quality offensive lineman in the draft and a handful of big time playmaking wide receivers.  Minnesota will also likely seek out a tight end to replace John Carlson and his contract.  Carlson was somewhat disappointing in Seattle and got worse once he was picked up in free agency by the Vikings.  There are at least 3 outstanding tightends in this draft, but the Vikings have needs at linebacker and defensive end as well.  They did well enough in 2012 to make the playoffs, but division rivals, the Green Bay Packers, had little trouble dispatching them and moving on to candlestick and the 49ers.  Jared Allen is getting older and the Vikes already lost All-Pro guard Steve Hutchinson last year in free agency.  Peterson and QB Christian Ponder are going to need help and this draft is loaded with guards and tackles.  With Percy Harvin likely to be dealt, or a long holdout, look for Minnesota to go wide receiver first and then deal with their other shortcomings after that.  A possible trade could answer some of the Vikings problems with draft selections or a veteran that can step in and contribute immediately, but at this time it's uncertain how they will deal with Harvin's likely departure.  Jarius Wright has shown some potential, but the Vikings need a player who can stretch the field. Harvin is more of a slot receiver and his health problems are also keeping him off the field with ankle and knee sprains and a very storied history of chronic migraines. One more place that the Vikings would like to strengthen is that the quarterback position.  Ponder is adequate, but Minnesota really has no reliable backup in the event that Ponder gets injured.
Update: The Vikings GM claims that there multi talented Percy Harvin is not on the trading block, yet he is apparently unhappy with his contract and wants an extension with a lot more zeros on the end of the monetary value of the contract.  It's looking more like Harvin is on his way out of Minnesota, but will anyone give him the money that he wants, which is reportedly in the neighborhood of Larry Fitzgerald money.  That just isn't going to happen, so what will Harvin do?  Minnesota would like to draft a receiver to replace Harvin, but at this position in the draft, they must fortify their defense in this draft has players they can step in immediately and make an impact.

Pick: Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina

 Indianapolis Colts  (Round 1:24 Overall)

How do they fix the offensive line?

Lightning strikes twice in the same place.  Manning out, Luck and lots of it, in.

Andrew Luck came into Indianapolis with a shabby neck beard and a team that managed just two wins and 14 losses.  In miraculous form, Luck came in to the quarterback position and not only helped the troubled team, but he led the Colts to an 11-5 record and a return to the AFC playoffs.  Some of this might be deceiving, with Indianapolis playing a losers schedule and in one of the weaker divisions in football.  But, you can't take away what this young man did with this football team and to this football roster.  Add the distraction or extra motivation to win, by the announcement that head coach Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia, and you have a miraculous season with a very special young man at the helm turning something terrible into something incredible and great for the Indianapolis community and the team itself.  The Colts, however, have troubled areas all over the roster.  Luck was sacked 41 times and throwing 23 touchdowns to 18 interceptions.  Taking the pressure off of Luck would likely decrease his interception rate and increase his touchdown production, but the sacks must decrease.  Indianapolis will likely be looking for offensive line help as well as defensive line with their best D-lineman Dwight Freeney being released.  The upcoming season will not be like the former.  Their record has brought with it a much tougher schedule and, let's face it, the Colts did it with mirrors.  They are so needy in practically every offensive and defensive category that they will likely draft for best player available.  There's not much more than can be said, they need help at; defensive line, defensive backfield, and linebackers.  Reggie Wayne was incredible for luck, but he was targeted 490 times showing a lack of other options for wide receiver.  Jacob Tamme (Denver) and Dallas Clark (Tampa Bay) have both left Indianapolis in free agency last season, but the Colts didn't draft Toby Fleener, Luck's favorite target at Stanford, though he didn't have a hallmark rookie season.  He should improve in year two, but Indy must provide more targets for their Manning legacy.  There are a couple of very good tightends in the upcoming draft as well as wide receivers.  Look for the Colts the draft the best available athlete, defense or offense.

They could make a run at an elite right tackle if one were to become available. Andrew Luck took too many shots last season. The line is average at best. Look for some early picks in the draft on the line. They have to protect the franchise player.
Update: The Colts would love to get a quality offensive tackle in this draft, but they lack defensive coverage against the pass and with the kind of combine performance Desmond Trufant put up, they can't pass up on the CB out of Washington.

 

Pick: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

 Seattle Seahawks  (Round 1:25 Overall)

How do they amp up the outside passing game? A roster in need of tweaking, not overall.  Many believe this Seahawks roster to be the best in franchise history.  Can they overtake the 49ers and win home-field advantage?

The Seattle Seahawks had a fantastic 2nd half of 2012-13 season.  Head coach Pete Carroll and GM John Schneider have been slowly building momentum and stacking unique talent on this team.  2012 was a draft that smiled on the Seahawks with 9 of the 10 selections making the team and the 10th signed to the practice squad.  This latest draft included; first-round selection Bruce Irvin levied 8 sacks (most for rookies), 2nd round selection Bobby Wagner put together a rookie season worthy of rookie of the year defense as he put together 140 tackles and called all of Seattle's defensive sets from inside linebacker.  However, few experts projected the success Russell Wilson would have as a 3rd round selection from Wisconsin, Wilson led the Seahawks to an 11-5 season and a road win in a wild-card playoff game, the first playoff road victory for the Seahawks in 30 years.  Wilson also tied Peyton Manning for his rookie record of 26 touchdown passes and threw just 12 interceptions in regular-season.  But as great as Wilson was in regular-season, he stepped up his level of play in the playoffs coming from behind to beat the Redskins on the road and nearly came back against the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome, gaining the lead with just 31 seconds remaining.  Unfortunately, Seattle's defense couldn't keep the Falcons receivers at bay as they came back and kicked a field goal to advance to the NFC championship against the 49ers.  The Seahawks also got excellent production from; RB Robert Turbin, CB Jeremy Lane, DE Greg Scruggs, DE Jaye Howard, S Winston Guy, and G JR Sweezy.  The Seahawks lost their best pass rushing defender, Chris Clemons, during the wild-card game with the Redskins.  It was a huge loss for Seattle and it showed as they failed to put any real pressure on Matt Ryan in the Seahawks final playoff game of the season.  The Seahawks will certainly seek help on the defensive line and will also be looking for a replacement for longtime veteran LB Leroy Hill.  Hill was unlikely to make the team for the 2013 season, and with his off field issues, it sealed his fate.  The Seahawks will be looking for outside linebacker help on the weak side, either through free agency or through the draft.  The Seahawks have 12 selections in this year's NFL draft and this is a very deep class of defensive lineman and linebackers.  In addition to increasing the defensive pass rush, Seattle will be seeking speed, athleticism and size in a wide receiver who can stretch the field and create mismatches with smaller corners.  This draft is also not lacking WRs who will fill the prescription for John Schneider and Pete Carroll.  This is a very deep draft across the board, and Seattle might be tempted to trade some of their draft selections to move up and get the player that they want, but it might not be necessary.  Carroll and Schneider are masters at finding unique talent in the mid-and later rounds of drafts.  CB Richard Sherman, S Kam Chancellor and OLB KJ Wright were all drafted in the 5th round and have all become All-Pro players with the Seahawks.  Wide receiver Doug Baldwin and corner Brandon Browner weren't even drafted, but were found by Schneider and Carroll. If Seattle decides that they like a player enough earlier in the draft, they might deal picks or a combination of picks and players to move up in the draft.  Defensive end and wide receiver or on top of Seattle's list of positions to improve immediately.  They may just do it through free agency, though I wouldn't expect them to offer up a lot of money or draft selections to get a huge name.  The Seahawks simply don't believe they need anything that badly to compromise the future of the franchise.  The Seahawks are young, talented and extremely hungry.  They have a swagger on the defense and they are led by one of the most cerebral, intelligent and confident quarterbacks you'll ever see, rookie or veteran.  In a word, this team is "READY" and if the magic duo of Carroll and Schneider could pull off anymore miracles in the draft, the Seattle Seahawks are going to be a team to be reckoned with for a long time.  Salary cap issues are already being considered for next year when the Seahawks will need to reward Kam Chancellor, Earl Thomas and Richard Sherman with extended contracts. Look for Seattle to get help at DE in free agency and draft a wide receiver and outside linebacker.  If they don't address linebacker, former USC Trojan Malcolm Smith will fill in just fine.  PK Kevin Hauschka, DE Alan Branch and DT Clinton McDonald are free agents that Seattle might decide to re-sign, but it will come after the draft and free agency considerations. Is going to be difficult to crack this 53 man roster and no one knows that more than GM Schneider and coach Pete Carroll. 
Update: It is nearly impossible to forecast what Pete Carroll and GM John Schneider will do in the draft.  This duo frustrates the pants off almost every draft analyst covering the draft.   Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay have never hit on the Seahawks' selections correctly.  However, after watching the NFL scouting combine closely, I have identified a few players that I think Carroll and Schneider would fall in love with: DE Margus Hunt SMU, LB Zaviar Gooden Missouri, LB Khaseem Greene Rutgers, CB Xavier Rhodes Florida State, CB Blidi Wreh- Wilson Connecticut and S TJ McDonald USC.  All of these players have unusual speed, athleticism, physicality and body type and have unique versatility… Exactly how they like their players to be. Khaseem Greene is the kind of outside linebacker that Carroll and Schneider would like to see on the right side complementing KJ Wright and Bobby Wagner.  I think Seattle would rather selected pass rushing defensive end, but at 25 in the first, I don't think they could pass up this linebacker, Washington. He is big (268) and tall 6'4" and fast at 4.55 in the 40.  This linebacker is a freak and can cover sideline to sideline.  He could possibly kick Seattle into the team with the best linebackers in football.  Seeing KJ Wright, Bobby Wagner and Cornelius Washington in the 4-3 defense would be scary for any opponent.  Plus, all three linebackers can cover and are three down players.  Washington had a monster combine so it's possible that Seattle might not be able to get this linebacker at the 25 spot in the first round.  I'm sure Schneider and Carroll are crossing their fingers.

 

Pick: Cornelius Washington, OLB, Georgia

 

 Green Bay Packers  (Round 1:26 Overall)

Green Bay unloading salary like a fire sale.  Jennings and Woodson already released, WR Jones rumored gone also.

Aaron Rodgers is without a doubt the premier quarterback in the game today, but he just lost one of the reasons he has been so successful.  Greg Jennings has been released, leaving just Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and James Jones who is likely going to be cut as well.  Free-agent tightend, Tom Crabtree, might be a casualty along with Jennings.  James Jones is rumored to be cut along with Jennings and Woodson.  On the defensive side, AJ Hawk maybe leaving the Cheeseheads also to clear salary. So, Green Bay will be obviously looking for linebacker and safety help as well as tightend and wide receiver.  Quarterback Joe Flacco is in negotiations with the Super Bowl champion Ravens and it is expected that he will be either franchised at $20 million + or signed to a long-term deal that is going to make Aaron Rodgers completely giddy.  Once Flacco signs, the Packers will be induced to lock down Rodgers in Green Bay and it's going to be a big, gigantic number.  This will obviously hamstring the Packers on what they're able to do in the future with Clay Matthews, Jordy Nelson, BJ Raji and Ryan Pickett.  The Green Bay Packers front office has a knack for getting the right players for the right price and for the right duration.  They will probably be just fine, but it will limit what they can do in the free-agent market going forward.  Obviously, they are cleaning the house of high paid veterans precisely for this reason.

Pick: Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama

 

 Houston Texans  (Round 1:27 Overall)

A season passed without DE Mario Williams.  Now, how do they improve the pass rush?

The Houston Texans lost Mario Williams last off-season to the Buffalo Bills because they couldn't afford his monstrous salary.  JJ Watt had a monster season, but Connor Barwin is a free agent and will be asking for a load of cash.  It's likely the Texans will release him, but that will leave a linebacker vacancy.  Fortunately, this year's draft class has several decent linebackers available in the second, third and fourth rounds, however no one marquee as in; Luke Kuechly, Bobby Wagner or Jenoris Jenkins.  Mostly, projects and a few standouts with red flag issues scatter the defense standouts in this draft.  Houston will be looking for an edge rusher and offensive line depth to protect their franchise quarterback, Matt Schaub.  This team is stacked with talent, though.  The question is, will Gary Kubiak be able to put it all together.  They have a stellar running game and an elite wide receiver surrounding one of the better quarterbacks in the league.  JJ Watt was the NFL's defensive MVP, but it seems they need one or two players to push them over the top and deeper into the playoffs.  This team has already proven that they can win in the regular-season.  Now, they've got to figure out the right chemistry to get them beyond the first round of the playoffs.  Defense and help at linebacker and in the defensive secondary should be enough, but they also have a team that's kissing right up to the salary cap and must decide where to put the few dollars they have remaining.  Defensive end and outside linebacker are places that would give them immediate help.  This is a good draft if you own the Houston Texans franchised.  Deep in the things they need.

 

Pick: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

 

 

 Denver Broncos  (Round 1:28 Overall)

There's no question where the Broncos need to go?

John Elway but the glass slipper on Peyton Manning and it definitely fits in Denver.  Manning took the Broncos to a 13-3 record, 7-1 at home.  However, Manning didn't enjoy much support behind him with the running game, the Broncos averaging just 3.8 yards per rush (25th best in the league).  Knowshon Mereno didn't provide much run support, nor did Willis McGahee.  However, the Broncos don't typically go after he high-profile running back.  Instead, they believe that you put together his superior offensive line and any good athlete can succeed behind it.  It has worked for the Broncos, but with Manning under center I expect Elway to make a concerted effort to arm him with a running back who can also catch passes out of the backfield.  Rookie running backs fared very well last year with late first round selections; David Wilson (31st pick) to NYG and Doug Martin (32nd pick) to TB and perhaps the best rookie running back, Alfred Morris drafted 173rd by WAS, all providing excellent run support for their teams.  The Broncos will also be looking for help on the offensive line.  One complication for Elway and the Broncos is that they decided to apply the franchise tag to their left tackle, Ryan Clady.  This won't leave much cash under the salary cap to sign veteran help, but with the new rookie contract structure, John Elway could find a good guard or tackle in a very offensive line rich draft class. 

   

Pick: Alex Okafor, DE, Texas

 

 New England Patriots  (Round 1:29 Overall)

 Tom Brady will push hard for the front office to keep Wes Welker on the roster.  It's going to cost, but Welker has entrenched himself in Belichick's system and Tom counts on Welker when he feels pressure.  Number 83 is likely to be back at Foxboro on Sundays if number 12 has anything to say about it, but it's going to cost Robert Kraft double digits in the millions.
The Patriots have a history of letting productive veterans loose and replacing them with younger, more athletic replacements.  Will they keep right tackle Sebastian Vollmer and slot receiver Wes Welker or do they cut them loose and use their collective salaries to rebuild with cheaper alternatives?

Tom Brady is unlikely to stay quiet in the matter involving Wes Welker.  Welker is Brady's favorite flavor during the 2011, 2012 seasons.  Welker has been a godsend in the absence of former Patriots; Troy Brown, David Givens, Deion Branch, and Randy Moss. Last year's acquisition of free-agent wideout, Brandon Lloyd, hasn't quite worked out the way that Belichick & Co. had hoped.  Regardless, it's imperative that Welker's services be retained by the Patriots, particularly while All-World quarterback, Brady, is still playing at peak level.  Lloyd gives them a potential deep threat, Welker the possession receiver the keeps moving the chains and Gronkowski and Hernández remained the game’s best one-two punch at the tight end position.  New England's defense is going to be in focus as well, particularly the defensive secondary where the Patriots were soft all season long. There are some good corners and safeties in this draft, but New England will draft in the 29 position.  Fortunately, teams picking the for them will be after defensive ends, offensive lineman and believe it or not, quarterbacks which there are none of elite reputation.  Look for the Patriots to go safety and then linebacker.  All of this could be predicated on Wes Welker and Sebastian Vollmer's status with the team.
Update: Is likely after Tom Brady reworked his contract that the Patriots will challenge for a high profile veteran defensive back.  Darrelle Revis and Ed Reed are both likely to be available.  Brady needs protection and this draft is deep in offensive lineman.

 

Pick: Jonathan Cooper, OT, North Carolina

 

  

  Atlanta Falcons  (Round 1:30 Overall)

Falcons need to improve the pass rush?

John Abram has been the linchpin for the Falcons defensive line and pass rush, but he is a year older and could be a salary cap casualty.  The Falcons failed to put much pressure on opposing quarterbacks and put the offense and Matt Ryan in a position of needing to score far above league average in order to win games.  With the rest of the NFC improving quickly, don't look for the Falcons to repeat as the number one seed in the NFC.  Defensive end and outside linebacker will be number one and number two problems to solve in the upcoming draft.  They have salary cap issues, but if they decide to cut or trade John Abraham that might free up some cash to go after a free agent.  With Asante Samuel aging, corner and safety might also be an area they decide to address. Michael Turner, the punishing running back for the Falcons has been released for free agency.  Jacquiz Rogers had a decent year in 2012, younger and more tread on the tires then Turner which is likely why he became expendable.  Atlanta will still be looking for a replacement more in the model of speed and shifty to contrast Rogers running style.
Update: I would have picked the best running back on the board for Atlanta, but after Michael Turner was released, it opened the door for Atlanta to acquire Stephen Jackson who has opted not to pick up the final year of his contract with the Rams. Tony Gonzalez may retire this year, but even if he doesn't the Falcons will need a replacement for him.

   

Pick: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

 

 San Francisco 49ers  (Round 1:31 Overall)

Will there be a Super hangover?

Super Bowl hangover or not?  That's the question in San Francisco this season.

The 49ers have a lot of talent on the roster, but for whatever reason coach Jim Harbaugh decided to play the same defensive players throughout entire games without substitutions.  Their players aren't that good, but now they're tired and there isn't a lot of depth on either side of the ball.  San Francisco must hope for another healthy season, but why not?  The last 2 seasons the 49ers have one the NFC West and sustained very few significant injuries.  The 2012 season wasn't injury free, though.  Standout Justin Smith sustained a significant injury to his right arm and missed the last 2 games of the regular season and was mostly insignificant throughout the playoffs.  His absence was noticeable and it also reduced the effectiveness of Alden Smith and Navarro Bowman.  That showed the vulnerability of the 49ers lack of depth and delicate chemistry.  Last year, the Niners drafted wide receiver AJ Jenkins, running back LaMichael James and linebacker Darius Fleming.  None of these draft selections stood out as stars, but Fleming might have promised in the future.  LaMichael James has big-play ability because of his speed, but his size prevents him from being an every down back and he's not big enough to block or run inside.  Randy Moss was signed last year to bolster their wide receiver corps, but he was ineffective and played a decoy more than anything else.  Michael Crabtree emerged as the receiver that San Francisco hoped he would be when they drafted him 5 years ago.  Mario Manningham was signed also as a free agent in the off-season, but he didn't produce in Frisco the way that he did in New York the year prior.  The NFC West is improving quickly and the Seattle Seahawks are right on the Niners back door.  Arizona has improved its defense immensely and now the Rams have become competitive, also.  The NFC West is perhaps the most competitive division in football and San Francisco is going to have to get better to stay on top.  I look for them to draft a playmaking wide receiver and depth in their defensive secondary.  The Seahawks ripped them apart up in Seattle and the Ravens exposed a real weakness in the 49ers right up the middle of the field in the Super Bowl.  Dashon Goldson and Dante Whitner were a couple steps slow and a moment too late most the season, particularly down the stretch.  Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks are getting better and stronger every day and many analysts' new team to beat.  San Francisco better not flinch in 2013, the Legion of Boom is right in their blind spot and they are talented and hungry.
Update: The 49ers knew that Alex Smith would inevitably be gone in one way or another.  The decided to pull off a trade with the Kansas City Chiefs for a pair of second round selections.  San Francisco now has 15 selections in the 2013 draft and will likely be dealing them to move up in the draft.  If they do not make a deal, they will likely pick a defensive back.  Darrelle Revis could be a possible free agent acquisition through a trade and would change their first-round selection perhaps.

 

Pick: Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, Connecticut

 

 Baltimore Ravens  (Round 1:32 Overall)

Superbowls cost!

The Ravens are suffering from salary cap issues after winning the Super Bowl, everyone wants to get paid.  Ray Lewis is gone and it appears Baltimore will be in tough trying to re-sign their All-Pro safety Ed Reed.  Perhaps their biggest obstacle is trying to figure out how to fit Joe Flacco, their Super Bowl MVP, under the salary cap.  With his credentials, he will easily demand $20 million per year or more and even if the team decides to franchise tag him, it's still going to cost around $17 million and without cutting salaries of some long-term veteran talent, I'm afraid Joe Flacco would be unaffordable for the champs.  Linebacker Paul Kruger and defensive end Darnell Ellerbe are free agents also as well as tightend Dennis Pitta.  In fact, no team in the NFL has as many unrestricted free agents as Baltimore. Oh well, at least they all have Super Bowl rings to keep them somewhat content, but many Ravens players might be playing in other cities in 2013.

Pick: Manti T'eo, ILB, Notre Dame

 

 Washington Redskins  (Round 1:No Pick)

(first-round pick-Traded to St. Louis)

How is Robert Griffin III's knee recovery?

This is not your average football story to come along.  The Redskins went "All In" last year in the draft for the opportunity to draft Heisman Trophy recipient, Robert Griffin III.  It cost them three first round draft selections and two number two's to get RGIII and so far, so good.

This is not your average football story or after school special.  The Washington Redskins played poker's version for football draft "Going ALL-IN" for the opportunity to select Heisman Trophy recipient Robert Griffin III, the outstanding quarterback from Baylor University.  2012 didn't have a clear number one draft selections on the board… It had two.  Stanford's Andrew Luck went number one, but many people had Luck 1A and Griffin 1B.  These young quarterbacks were two of the most obvious "can't miss players" that the NFL draft has seen in 30 years or more. Even Peyton Manning and Eli Manning didn't enter draft day with such confidence by general managers from 1 to 32.  
early in my one of the me

Perhaps the only player with the notoriety of Luck and Griffin was John Elway out of Stanford in 1983 class. Griffin was definitely the man for the Redskins, he was outstanding from the moment he stepped on the practice field in DC.  His first game, he was terrific and he looked every bit the veteran throughout the season, helping his new team win the NFC East division title and taking the Redskins to the wildcard game against the Seattle Seahawks. Griffin had injury issues over the second half of the season including a concussion that kept him off the field for one week, then he injured his right knee and reinjured it in the loss to the Seahawks in the playoffs.  He decided to get surgery immediately after the playoffs concluded and his injury was worse than once thought by orthopedic surgeons.  He had damaged his ACL and MCL that would both require conventional surgical repair.  He is reportedly on schedule to return for the first game of the 2013 season, although there is some doubt by even Griffin that this will happen.  There's no doubt the 2013 was about number 10, RGIII.  However, Alfred Morris made a good argument to be the rookie of the year as well.  Morris rushed for over 1600 yards and was very much part of a resurgence that brought the Redskins back to the playoffs.  Now, it's all about building the club around their great quarterback and their strong running game.  I look for the Redskins to draft an offensive tackle and perhaps a center.  London Fletcher is one step away from retirement, but hasn't announced anything formally.  However, the team definitely needs depth on the defensive line as well as linebackers.  Deangelo Hall is also an aging veteran that will need to be replaced soon.  The safety position will also be heavily emphasized in the draft as well as the corner position on both sides.  Many teams are going in the direction to revamp their defensive secondary after watching the Seattle Seahawks get bigger and faster at the position.  Shutdown corners are not a dime a dozen, but there are a few bigger defensive backs in the draft, but they will last long.  Several teams are also searching for players with similar tangible skills and size.

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